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Friday, January 14, 2011

Health Care Law - New Rasmussen Poll Down the Memory Hole

In my previous post, The US and Republicans Want Health Care Law Repealed....?, I discussed how Rasmussen Polling makes their crosstabulation and demographic information available only to those who pay them $19.95/month. Their press release and the wording of their questions implied that they restricted their samples to those with insurance only.

This week Rasmussen released a poll where reference to the insured sample is removed from the title of their press release and the wording of the questions (listed below) no longer implies this as well. According to the press release, the survey is more in line with other polling with a 54-46% split in favor of repeal (see Real Clear Politics Health Care Polling Page) but, as with other most polls, does not say if this is because the bill is too conservative (ie. no public option or single payer alternatives) or too liberal (preventing insurance companies from dropping patients due to preexisting conditions).  I would love to claim credit for their including the uninsured (estimated to be 50 million or 17% of the US population) in their sample but, as they still only make their full poll with demographics and crosstabulations available for a price, I cannot be sure if this is really the case.  The full press release can be read below.


National Survey of 1,000 Likely Voters
Conducted January 7-8, 2011
By Rasmussen Reports


1* Will the health care plan passed by Congress and signed into law by President Obama be good for the country or bad for the country?

2* A proposal has been made to repeal the health care bill and stop it from going into effect. Do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose a proposal to repeal the health care bill?

3* If the health care bill is repealed would that be good for the economy, bad for the economy or would it have no impact on the economy?

4* If the health care bill is repealed would that lead to the creation of more jobs?

5* How likely is it that the Health Care bill will be repealed?
 
NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

**Related Posts**


POLL: Dislike of healthcare law crosses party lines, 1 in 4 Dems want repeal - TheHill.com (But Doesn't Ask Why)


**Update**

Real Clear Politics (RCP) lists Rasmussen's sample as 1000 likely voters.  Other major polls besides the Democracy Corps use the US adult population as their sample and have smaller margins of opposition.  Since likely voters are more likely to be affluent the uninsured are still more likely to be underrepresented in this sample if they are really included at all.  The RCP summary page can be seen at:

Obama and Democrats' Health Care Plan